Burlington Interactive Data Hub
Fiscal Cycle: 2026/27
Units in Pipeline
23,282
Pre-application Stage (Q4 2025)
Industrial Vacancy
5.1%
GTA West Market (Q3 2025)
Avg. Res DC (Single)
$21,600
Municipal Portion Only (2026)
2026 Capital Plan
$105.7M
Approved Dec 2, 2025
Commercial Real Estate Executive Summary
As of March 2026, Burlington is signaling a massive shift from suburban sprawl to transit-oriented intensification. The passage of the New Zoning By-laws (NZBLs) on March 2nd has fundamentally re-rated residential land values, allowing semi-detached and low-rise apartments in areas previously locked for single-family use. For developers, the message is clear: the city is aggressively pursuing its 29,000-unit housing pledge. While we face a cooling construction market GTA-wide, Burlington’s targeted $8.8M incentive pool for Additional Residential Units (ARUs) and its fierce protection of employment lands via OPA 7 create a unique "supply-constrained" stability that savvy investors should leverage now.
Policy
Zoning & OP Updates
Financials
DC Rates & Incentives
Pipeline
Major Applications
Infrastructure
Capital Projects
Outlook
Hotspots & Risks
Strategic & Regulatory Framework
Official Plan & Zoning Modernization
New Zoning By-laws (NZBL)
Passed March 2, 2026. Permits semi-detached homes as-of-right across residential zones.
Employment Area Protection (OPA 7)
Strictly limits 1,800 ha to manufacturing/logistics; removes standalone retail/office uses.
Major Transit Station Areas (MTSA)
OPA 2 approved Oct 2025. Directs high-rise growth to Aldershot, Burlington, and Appleby GO nodes.
Growth Projections to 2051
Financial Landscape: Costs & Incentives
2026 DC Calculator
2026 Budget Funding Allocation
Development Pipeline & Major Projects
1200 King Road (Alinea Group)
36 buildings, up to 53 storeys. 8,822 units proposed near Aldershot GO.
Pre-Construction1022-1030 Waterdown Road
indwell Partnership: 74 affordable units, 6 storeys. Target Permit: 2026.
Zoning Amendment ActiveMajor Infrastructure & Catalytic Projects
Capital Asset Allocation
Catalytic Project Status (2026)
Burloak Drive Grade Separation
Metrolinx/GO Expansion bridge construction.
Joseph Brant Hospital MHA Phase 2
Full redesign of inpatient/outpatient mental health units.
Lakeshore West 15-Min Service
Platform and station retrofits to support all-day frequency.
2026 Strategic Outlook
🔥 Hotspots
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MTSA GO Clusters:
The only areas broadly supported for high-density rezoning. Massive land value appreciation expected around Aldershot.
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The ARU Infill Market:
"Gentrified Infill" is now a lucrative niche thanks to $95k HAF loans and as-of-right semi-detached permissions.
⚠️ Risks & Takeaways
The "DC Standoff"
Council is debating a 2-year freeze, but actual rates remain high ($86k+ urban/regional combined). Retroactive relief is possible, but modeling must use current high rates.
Industrial Constraints
OPA 7 prevents the typical GTA trend of industrial-to-residential conversion. Expect low vacancy and stable rental growth through 2030.