Vaughan Development Intelligence Report

Vaughan Development Intelligence

Executive Summary

570K+
Projected Population by 2051
351.5K+
Projected Jobs by 2051
200
Jobs & Residents / ha Target in VMC
Ongoing
Official Plan Review Status

The City of Vaughan is navigating a period of intensive growth, underpinned by significant infrastructure investment and a transitioning policy landscape. Projections indicate the population will surpass 570,000 and jobs will reach over 351,500 by 2051, driving a robust pipeline of both residential and industrial development. The city's strategic focus is on intensification, particularly within the Vaughan Metropolitan Centre (VMC) and other Major Transit Station Areas (MTSAs), supported by the expansion of regional transit like the GO network and the future Yonge North Subway Extension.

Financially, the development landscape is shaped by the City's $216.5 million capital budget for 2024, which heavily allocates funds towards transportation and mobility. Developers must navigate the current **Development Charges** framework, which includes both Municipal and York Region costs, while anticipating updates and assessing available incentives for affordable and rental housing. The exact fees are highly variable and must be confirmed directly with the official by-laws.

Key opportunities for real estate professionals lie in transit-oriented developments and the burgeoning industrial sector, where Vaughan leads York Region. However, success will depend on a thorough understanding of the evolving regulatory framework, development costs, and the strategic direction outlined in the forthcoming Official Plan. This report provides a detailed analysis of these interconnected factors to guide investment and development decisions in this dynamic municipality.

Development Pipeline Overview

Vaughan's development pipeline is robust, reflecting its status as one of Canada's fastest-growing cities. The City's online "PLANit Viewer" and York Region's "Development Application Status Dashboard" provide real-time tracking of applications. The market shows a strong focus on high-density residential projects within the Vaughan Metropolitan Centre (VMC) and key transit corridors, alongside significant large-scale industrial and commercial developments, particularly in designated employment areas. Below is a representative sample of major applications reflecting current trends.

Project / Location Type Description Status
VMC - Multiple Towers High-Rise Residential Various proposals for mixed-use towers featuring 2,500+ residential units and retail at grade. Under Review
Hwy 27 & Langstaff Area Industrial Proposed 1.5 million sq. ft. logistics and distribution centre. Tenant not specified (speculative). Under Review
Jane St & Major Mackenzie Mid-Rise Residential Zoning by-law amendment for stacked townhouses and mid-rise apartments (approx. 450 units). Approved
Pine Valley Business Park Industrial Multiple applications for industrial condos and build-to-suit manufacturing facilities. Various Stages

Strategic & Regulatory Framework

Vaughan's development is guided by a multi-layered policy framework. The primary driver of future growth strategy is the ongoing Official Plan Review, which seeks to align the city's vision with updated provincial and regional mandates. This section outlines the status of key documents and initiatives that shape land use planning and development approvals.

Official Plan Review

The City is consolidating its review into a single Official Plan Amendment to conform to new provincial legislation. This plan will guide growth to 2051.

Status: In Progress

Next Steps: Final draft update expected in late 2024, with adoption targeted for December 2024.

Zoning By-law

The new Comprehensive Zoning By-law (001-2021) is currently under appeal at the Ontario Land Tribunal. Therefore, the older By-law 1-88 remains in effect.

Status: By-law 1-88 In Effect

Implication: Development applications must demonstrate compliance with both by-laws during the appeal period, potentially complicating approvals.

VMC Secondary Plan

This plan guides the transformation of the Vaughan Metropolitan Centre into a high-density, mixed-use urban core. It sets the framework for infrastructure, services, and public projects.

Density Target: 200 residents & jobs / hectare

Transit-Oriented Development

Provincially-led initiatives are promoting high-density development around major transit stations, including those along the future Yonge North Subway Extension and existing GO Transit lines.

MTSA Density Target: 150-160 residents & jobs / hectare

Financial Landscape: Development Costs & Incentives

The financial viability of development in Vaughan is influenced by a range of factors, including municipal **Development Charges (DCs)**, user fees, and available incentive programs. This section outlines the structure of Development Charges, which include components from the City of Vaughan (Municipal) and York Region (Regional), plus mandatory Education DCs. Note that the specific amounts are complex and subject to frequent change.

Illustrative Development Charge Structure

**Disclaimer:** This specific detail cannot be verified with the information at hand. The figures below are conceptual placeholders to illustrate the required structure; actual DC rates are complex and must be sourced directly from the latest Vaughan and York Region By-laws.

Development Type Vaughan DC (Municipal) York Region DC (Regional) Total Approximate DC (Excl. Education)
Single/Semi-Detached Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law
Townhouse / Medium Density Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law
Apartment (1+ Bedroom) Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law
Industrial/Commercial (per GFA) Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law Verify Latest By-law

Housing Incentive Programs

A variety of programs are available to support the development of specific housing types, primarily affordable and rental units. These incentives are offered at multiple government levels.

  • **Municipal/Regional:** Potential for **DC exemptions or reductions** for eligible affordable housing projects. York Region's Housing Stability Program offers support.
  • **Provincial:** Policies aimed at encouraging rental housing construction may include deferrals on development charges (e.g., related to Bill 23).
  • **Federal (CMHC):** Programs like the Housing Accelerator Fund provide funding to municipalities to increase housing supply, while others like the Apartment Construction Loan Program offer low-cost loans for rental projects.

**Note:** Updates to DCs via new by-laws (e.g., By-law 251-2024 for fees) and changes in phase-in/freeze periods must be monitored. The 2024 budget includes a 3% property tax levy increase.

Infrastructure, Population, & Employment Growth

Vaughan's future growth is directly tied to massive investments in public infrastructure and strategic planning for population and employment expansion. The City must accommodate **228,800 more people** and **111,400 more jobs** by 2051. The 2024 capital budget of $216.5M is a testament to this commitment, with a significant portion dedicated to enhancing the city's transportation network. These projects not only facilitate growth but also create prime opportunities for development in adjacent areas.

Key Infrastructure Projects

  • **Metrolinx GO Expansion (Barrie Line):** Transforming the line to provide more frequent, two-way, all-day service, which will significantly improve connectivity for Vaughan residents and businesses along the corridor.
  • **Yonge North Subway Extension:** A priority transit project that will extend the TTC's Line 1 subway into York Region, fostering major transit-oriented communities.
  • **Road Network Improvements:** York Region and the City are investing in road rehabilitations and intersection improvements across Vaughan to improve traffic flow and safety (e.g., on Jane Street, Major Mackenzie Drive, and Langstaff Road).
  • **Cortellucci Vaughan Hospital:** Opened in 2021, this major healthcare facility acts as an anchor for the surrounding area, driving demand for ancillary services and housing.

Population & Employment Growth Projection to 2051

2024 Capital Budget Allocation